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Trump + Bernie Sanders = RUN!

Posted January 12, 2026

Davis Wilson

By Davis Wilson

Trump + Bernie Sanders = RUN!

At 2:46 p.m. on January 9, Bernie Sanders fired off a tweet aimed squarely at President Trump:

Bernie Sanders tweet

That same day, Elizabeth Warren added fuel to the fire, saying:

“I said a year ago if Trump was serious I’d work to pass a bill to cap rates. Since then, he’s done nothing but try to shut down the [Consumer Financial Protection Bureau].”

Within hours, President Trump responded on Truth Social:

Donald Trump tweet

You can make of the timing what you want.

To me, this looks far more like a political response than a well-thought-out policy decision.

Credit card interest rates currently average around 23%, according to the Federal Reserve.

Interest income is a core profit driver for consumer finance companies.

As expected, the stock market reacted immediately.

As I write this, Capital One (COF) is down roughly 6%. American Express (AXP) is down about 5%. And Synchrony Financial (SYF) is down 8%.

The reaction isn’t complicated.

Lower interest rates charged to cardholders mean lower interest income for these companies.

Not all companies are losers, however.

Retailers like Walmart (WMT), Amazon (AMZN), and Target (TGT) could benefit if consumers face a lower interest burden and have more spending power.

Visa (V) and Mastercard (MA) are far less impacted.

They don’t set interest rates. They earn money by skimming transaction volume.

But that’s not the most important part of this story.

The bigger question is where this ends.

The proposed 10% cap doesn’t exist in isolation.

It’s part of a broader pattern of increasingly interventionist economic policy.

Consider the recent moves and proposals.

  • The Justice Department just threatened the Federal Reserve with a possible criminal indictment related to testimony about renovations to the Fed’s office buildings, a move that appears closely tied to Trump’s ongoing clash with Fed Chair Jerome Powell over interest rates.
  • Trump has directed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to buy $200 billion in mortgage bonds to push down mortgage rates.
  • He has called for an institutional ban on owning single-family homes.
  • He has publicly urged the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to 1% in 2026.
  • And Trump has announced $2,000 tariff stimulus checks.

Individually, each of these actions can be framed as helping affordability or the working class.

Taken together, they paint a very different picture.

Just a few months ago, half the country was debating rent caps leading up to Zohran Mamdani getting elected New York City mayor.

The math was clear that rent caps reduce housing supply and ultimately make affordability worse over time.

Now we’re talking about caps on credit card interest rates.

Are these ideas really that different?

They’re both price controls.

They both sound good on the surface.

And they both come with unintended consequences.

If a 10% credit card interest cap were actually enacted (which remains unlikely), banks wouldn’t simply accept lower profits.

They would adapt.

That adaptation would likely include tighter underwriting standards, reduced credit lines, or closed accounts for higher-risk borrowers.

Companies would also look to make up for lost interest income by increasing fees, including annual fees, late fees, or penalty fees.

In other words, access to credit would shrink for many of the very people these policies are meant to help.

Milton Friedman summed this problem up decades ago:

"When government – in pursuit of good intentions – tries to rearrange the economy, legislate morality, or help special interests, the cost come in inefficiency, lack of motivation, and loss of freedom. Government should be a referee, not an active player."

While President Trump’s policies have largely been a net positive for stock market investors, this proposal misses the mark.

And when Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren are applauding a policy, history suggests investors should proceed with caution.

Government intervention in free markets almost always creates more problems than it solves.

This time will be no different.

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