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Turkey & Drama: How To WIN Arguments on Thanksgiving

Posted November 26, 2025

Davis Wilson

By Davis Wilson

Turkey & Drama: How To WIN Arguments on Thanksgiving

Happy Thanksgiving!

Enjoy your quality time with family and friends this weekend.

If your holidays are anything like mine, you’ll find yourself in a conversation or two about financial markets.

He’s a quick (and easy) rundown to help you sound a bit more informed.

Let’s start with the overall stock market.

The S&P 500, which tracks the 500 largest stocks, is slightly off its highs but still up 14.5% this year alone.

The tech-heavy NASDAQ is up 18.11%.

Despite a Pullback – 2025 Has Been Great for Stocks

image 1

Both indexes have pulled back over the last month as the AI hype has unwound.

The S&P 500 is still expensive compared to historical valuations, however.

Below is this Price-to-Earnings ratio for the index.

You can think of this like cost-per-ounce labels on packaged goods at grocery stores.

The higher the ratio, the more expensive the S&P 500.

Price-to-Earnings Ratio Highest Since 2021

image 2

The P/E ratio currently sits above 30-times earnings.

This is its highest level since 2021 yet still well below levels seen during the dot-com or 2008 financial crisis.

Speaking of the dot-com bubble…

Are we in an AI bubble?

Here are the trailing and forward P/E ratios of top AI stocks:

image 3

All this information is available for free on Yahoo! Finance.

While sentiment around these names has taken a dive lower, valuations are still reasonable for most.

The top 5 companies above trade for <30x forward earnings.

Not bad for high growth tech names!

So why are AI stocks currently so out of favor?

Big Tech’s aggressive AI build-out is increasingly financed with record debt issuance, raising concerns about leverage, weaker balance sheets, and growing systemic risk.

image 4

Now let’s turn our attention to crypto.

Bitcoin peaked in early October at $126,210 but now sits around $88,000 as I type this.

Year-to-Date Bitcoin Price

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November has been the worst month for Bitcoin since hedge fund Three Arrows blew up in 2022.

image 6

It hasn’t just been Bitcoin pulling back either.

Ethereum, XRP, and Solana have pulled back recently too.

Year-to-Date Crypto Prices

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I recommend you use this volatility to your advantage by scooping up long-term investments at depressed prices.

Now before I log off for Thanksgiving…

Here are a few more interesting charts you might enjoy.

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While you’re celebrating Thanksgiving, ask the single folks in your life how they plan on meeting a significant other.

Odds are it’s online.

Talk to you soon.

Enjoy the holiday.

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