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Zuckerberg vs The Gov't - STARTING TODAY!

Posted April 14, 2025

Davis Wilson

By Davis Wilson

Zuckerberg vs The Gov't - STARTING TODAY!

This is not just another trial…

It’s a showdown that could redefine the boundaries of Big Tech – and Meta is front and center.

Starting today in a Washington, D.C. courtroom, Meta Platforms (META) will face off against the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) in what might be one of the most consequential antitrust cases of the decade.

The stakes?

Nothing short of Meta being forced to divest Instagram and WhatsApp – two platforms that have become central to how billions of people connect and communicate.

Here’s the Background… And Why This Matters

The FTC is arguing that Meta didn’t grow into a social media giant by playing fair.

Instead, it says Meta used its enormous war chest to buy out its biggest threats – Instagram in 2012 for $1 billion and WhatsApp in 2014 for $19 billion – effectively sidestepping competition rather than outperforming it.

According to the FTC’s legal filings, these acquisitions allowed Meta to sustain its dominance “to the detriment of competition and users.”

It claims Meta didn’t innovate its way to the top... it acquired its way there.

Meta’s response?

The whole case is a stretch and a political play.

It argues the FTC cleared both deals over a decade ago and is now trying to rewrite history.

In a recent statement, Meta fired back:

“The evidence at trial will show what every 17-year-old in the world knows: Instagram, Facebook and WhatsApp compete with TikTok, YouTube, iMessage and many others.”

And that’s the crux of the case: What exactly is the market Meta dominates?

Is it social media broadly – or a narrower definition, like “personal social networking”?

That definition could determine whether Meta is considered a monopoly... or just one of many players in a hypercompetitive landscape.

Here’s What This Means for Meta’s Stock

If Meta loses, the court could order the company to break up – a move that would send shockwaves through the tech world and Wall Street alike.

It would be the most aggressive antitrust action against a U.S. tech firm since the government took on Microsoft in the late 1990s.

I’ve recommended Meta (META) before – and even after the recent selloff, I still think the stock is cheap.

But let’s be clear: this trial is a major overhang that investors can’t ignore.

If the FTC wins and Meta is forced to divest Instagram or WhatsApp, it would be a seismic shift for the company.

These platforms aren’t just shiny trophies. They’re massive profit centers.

Instagram alone likely accounts for over half of Meta’s ad revenue growth in recent years.

A forced breakup could:

  • Disrupt ad targeting and data integration, which Meta relies on to dominate the digital ad space.
  • Reduce economies of scale, which currently allow Meta to spread infrastructure and R&D costs across all platforms.
  • And perhaps most importantly: open the door for rivals to capture market share Meta has previously controlled.

But here’s the twist...

A breakup could also unlock hidden value for shareholders.

If Instagram and WhatsApp were spun off as independent companies, their standalone valuations might surprise you.

Instagram could easily be worth $500 billion on its own.

And WhatsApp, with its global user base and monetization potential, could be worth even more.

So, while the uncertainty may weigh on the stock in the short term, a breakup isn't necessarily bearish for long-term investors.

Microsoft, for example, has 13X’d since its antitrust case… meaning you still had a chance to make millions even after they “lost.”

What matters is twofold:

  1. Whether Meta wins or loses this case, of course.
  1. If Meta does come out on the losing end, is it headed for a messy regulatory smackdown or a sleek breakup that actually boosts the stock?

Bottom line: Meta is facing regulatory heat, no doubt.

But I still think the market is underpricing the company’s core earnings power, moat, and optionality across AI, messaging, and mixed reality.

Volatility around this trial might create more buying opportunities – not less.

Stick with The Million Mission as this trial plays out.

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